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Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl forecasts from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting
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Nobody can predict the future however at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to give it its best shot. With approximately date news and a little but lively 14 Billion specification design, our AI is boldly anticipating the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to respond to humankind's hardest questions.
Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, just as two years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain numerous pressing concerns that are less easy to select. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has been mining questions from locations like polymarket.com and training a big language model to be better at anticipating the future (and have seen some intriguing enhancements - research study paper incoming). Today we turned its cold, determining eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion specification model which is actually on the smaller side. (Some quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from numerous months back so we have actually built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each we offer the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unknown area to make its best prediction possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We posed the following questions to our AI and determined its action. While we have seen forecast enhancements from our training, utilize these estimates for prop wagering at your own peril.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity
And so it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta element in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposition ...
First, I'll look at the crucial points from the articles. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor because 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been supportive of his profession, attending his games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her family and friends to the Super Bowl, showing her dedication.
Some fans are excited, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, particularly offered comments Travis made about Donald Trump attending the Super Bowl. That has caused some Swifties to question how appropriate Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship private and not dealing with the speculation straight.
I think the essential points are the speculation and his evasive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an important occasion, the chances and his reactions recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd approximate a low possibility, maybe around 5%, considering all elements.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the super bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% possibility
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" move, wiki.rrtn.org now its simply a different front-tush being pressed. Will an AI understand what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's comparable efforts? Looks like our AI believes they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and links.gtanet.com.br strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.
Alright, I'm trying to determine the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I need to understand what precisely a "tush-push" is. From the articles, it looks like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to press off protectors. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and method.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to carry out the move. The article mentions that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this strategy, which is pretty high. ... I likewise require to think about the protective techniques of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they might adjust their defense appropriately, which could either increase or decrease the variety of times the Eagles utilize it.
Considering that more than five looks like a considerable number but possible provided their self-confidence, I would approximate a possibility around 60-70% opportunity. This accounts for their preparation, confidence in the technique, and the possibility that they'll utilize it numerous times, particularly if it's reliable early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime program performance?
AI Final Prediction: 65% chance
While our AI might not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling backward and forward, however in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a fight.
From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement during a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That appears substantial because it reveals he's done it before, so maybe he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more current articles, it mentions that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on individual expression. That could mean he's less likely to attend to Trump this time.
However, he's likewise involved in a fight with Drake, wiki.snooze-hotelsoftware.de which may offer him factors to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal concerns surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a disparagement suit from Drake, so perhaps he bewares about consisting of any questionable tunes in the efficiency. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent occasion, Lamar might feel obliged to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to avoid political statements during the halftime program, so there's a danger that such content may be restricted or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making strong relocations on big stages. He's the very first solo rap act to heading the halftime program, which might provide him more innovative freedom. Plus, his previous habits suggests he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public efficiencies.
But I likewise remember reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might indicate he's less motivated to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, current shifts in focus, legal issues, and the occasion's context-the likelihood appears to be reasonably high, maybe around 65%.
Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the super bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility
Lets be honest, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the fact that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its forecast? Looks like theres somewhat of a chance that if the chiefs taste success, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't imply to cause offense which he really found it funny himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might suggest he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.
Taking a look at the short articles, it mentions that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's a short article specifically about his love for food, which suggests that he's a person who enjoys consuming, specifically with his team. So, if there were plans to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, particularly if the scenario is on screen for a celebration.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility
"Tails never fails?" You can't deceive the devices !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been anticipating the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be fooled and believes anything can happen when that coin goes in the air.
Okay, so I'm attempting to figure out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, however there's some historical data that might influence this forecast.
First, I go through the articles offered. They all discuss the historical statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has shown up more typically than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the outcome 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based purely on history, tails has a slight edge, however it's not a big difference.
However, I remember that the outcome of a coin toss is normally considered random. The minor historical edge for tails might be due to chance. But when making predictions, often individuals weigh historical information even if it's not statistically considerable. So, I ought to think about whether this historical bias should affect the probability.
After considering it, I decide that while the historical information shows a slight choice for tails, it's not statistically significant enough to move the probability far from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the small historical edge exists however does not bypass the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.
Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% chance
We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would most likely think the exact same. BUT, its authorities now since our AI states the opportunities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm trying to determine the probability that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite major allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of posts that discuss conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some doubtful calls in recent video games, specifically the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get frustrated when their group loses due to what they view as bad officiating.
But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "outrageous" and "ridiculous." They say there's no proof of systematic predisposition. That's a strong declaration from the people in charge. If they're rejecting it, it may imply there's no real basis or they would have addressed it in a different way if there was some truth to it.
Taking a look at the articles, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also pointed out that analytical analysis doesn't reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said information reveals the Chiefs have actually been penalized more considering that 2022. That's interesting due to the fact that if they were getting special treatment, you might expect fewer charges, right?
...
So, putting everything together, the possibility that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely extremely low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't eliminate every possibility, however extremely not likely.
Summary
There you have it everybody, is it even worth seeing the game still? I think I'll need to wait and see how the video game ends up before we release this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a good video game! And hey, if it turns out our AI was incorrect about whatever, a minimum of it can gain from this.
این کار باعث حذف صفحه ی "Our Brand-new Deepseek-based AI Says"
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