Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl predictions from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting

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No one can anticipate the future however at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to offer it its finest shot. With approximately date news and a small but spirited 14 Billion parameter model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we try to answer humanity's hardest concerns.

Sunday is almost upon us and, simply as 2 years earlier, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain many pressing questions that are less simple to select. Our business, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining questions from places like polymarket.com and training a large language model to be better at anticipating the future (and have actually seen some appealing enhancements - term paper incoming). Today we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion parameter model which is really on the smaller side. (Some quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION criteria and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from lots of months back so we have actually built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unknown area to make its finest prediction possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We postured the following concerns to our AI and evaluated its action. While we have actually seen forecast improvements from our training, use these quotes for prop betting at your own danger.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity

And so it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, setiathome.berkeley.edu however a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposition ...

First, I'll look at the bottom lines from the short articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor because 2023. He's a huge football star, and she's been helpful of his career, attending his games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even invited her loved ones to the Super Bowl, revealing her commitment.

Some fans are thrilled, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially provided comments Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has triggered some Swifties to question how appropriate Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship personal and not addressing the speculation straight.

I believe the bottom lines are the speculation and his incredibly elusive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential event, the chances and his reactions recommend it's more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I 'd estimate a low likelihood, maybe around 5%, considering all elements.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the super bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% possibility

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its simply a different front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's comparable attempts? Looks like our AI thinks they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this video game.

Alright, I'm attempting to determine the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I require to understand what precisely a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it appears like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to push off protectors. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and strategy.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The short article mentions that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this strategy, which is pretty high. ... I also need to think about the protective methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs know the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they might adjust their defense appropriately, which might either increase or decrease the number of times the Eagles utilize it.

Considering that more than 5 looks like a substantial number however possible given their confidence, I would estimate a probability around 60-70% opportunity. This represents their preparation, self-confidence in the technique, and the probability that they'll use it several times, especially if it works early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime show performance?

AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility

While our AI may not resemble us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a fight.

From the posts, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement throughout a previous halftime show when Trump existed in 2018. That seems significant due to the fact that it shows he's done it before, so maybe he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more current short articles, it mentions that Lamar is moving away from political statements and focusing more on personal expression. That could mean he's less most likely to address Trump this time.

However, he's also involved in a feud with Drake, which might provide him factors to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a defamation fit from Drake, so maybe he's careful about including any controversial songs in the efficiency. But considering that he won the Grammys for that track, he might still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent occasion, Lamar may feel forced to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political declarations throughout the halftime show, so there's a risk that such content may be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making bold relocations on huge phases. He's the very first solo rap act to headline the halftime program, which might give him more innovative flexibility. Plus, his previous behavior recommends he's not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public efficiencies.

But I likewise keep in mind reading that Lamar expressed tiredness about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might indicate he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, particularly if he's focusing on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, present shifts in focus, legal problems, and the event's context-the likelihood appears to be reasonably high, possibly around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% chance

Lets be sincere, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the truth that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Appears like theres rather of an opportunity that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't mean to trigger offense which he in fact discovered it funny himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which might show he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Looking at the short articles, it points out that Andy Reid is a food lover and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's a post particularly about his love for food, which suggests that he's a person who takes pleasure in consuming, especially with his team. So, if there were strategies to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, particularly if the circumstance is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% chance

"Tails never fails?" You can't deceive the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been predicting the coin toss and 53% are anticipating heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 very bowls. Potentially lucrative? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be tricked and believes anything can happen when that coin goes in the air.

Okay, so I'm attempting to figure out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, but there's some historic data that may influence this forecast.

First, I go through the posts offered. They all mention the historic data of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has actually shown up more frequently than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the outcome 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a small edge, however it's not a substantial difference.

However, I keep in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is usually thought about random. The small historic edge for tails might be due to chance. But when making predictions, often people weigh historical data even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I need to consider whether this historical bias should affect the possibility.

After believing about it, I decide that while the historic information reveals a minor choice for tails, it's not statistically considerable enough to move the possibility far from 0.5. So, I'll opt for 0.5 as the probability, acknowledging that the minor historical edge exists however doesn't override the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.

Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely believe the very same. BUT, its authorities now since our AI says the opportunities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to fraud on a nationwide scale). Looks like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm trying to find out the likelihood that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty serious accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of articles that discuss conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable employ recent video games, particularly the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get irritated when their group loses due to what they view as bad officiating.

But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "preposterous" and "absurd." They say there's no proof of systematic bias. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it might indicate there's no real basis or they would have resolved it in a different way if there was some fact to it.

Looking at the posts, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also discussed that statistical analysis doesn't reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said data shows the Chiefs have actually been punished more because 2022. That's intriguing since if they were getting special treatment, you might expect less penalties, right?

...

So, putting everything together, the probability that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely extremely low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't dismiss every possibility, but incredibly not likely.

Summary

There you have it everyone, is it even worth enjoying the game still? I guess I'll have to wait and see how the video game turns out before we unleash this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for an excellent game! And hello, if it ends up our AI was incorrect about whatever, at least it can gain from this.