Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

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No one can anticipate the future however at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to offer it its finest shot. With approximately date news and a little but spirited 14 Billion criterion design, our AI is boldly forecasting the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to answer humanity's toughest concerns.

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, just as two years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain lots of pressing questions that are less easy to select. Our company, Lightning Rod Labs, has actually been mining concerns from places like polymarket.com and training a big language model to be better at anticipating the future (and have actually seen some interesting enhancements - research study paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion criterion design which is really on the smaller sized side. (Some estimates recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from numerous months back so we have actually built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unknown territory to make its finest prediction possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We positioned the following concerns to our AI and gauged its response. While we have seen forecast enhancements from our training, utilize these quotes for prop wagering at your own peril.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity

Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, however a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta factor in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposal ...

First, I'll look at the essential points from the posts. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor given that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been encouraging of his career, attending his games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her family and friends to the Super Bowl, revealing her dedication.

Some fans are excited, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, particularly offered comments Travis made about Donald Trump attending the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship personal and not resolving the speculation straight.

I believe the bottom lines are the speculation and his incredibly elusive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the chances and his actions recommend it's more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I 'd estimate a low probability, maybe around 5%, thinking about all aspects.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the super bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% possibility

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" move, now its just a different front-tush being pressed. Will an AI understand what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's comparable efforts? Looks like our AI thinks they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this video game.

Alright, I'm trying to figure out the possibility that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I require to comprehend what exactly a "tush-push" is. From the short articles, it appears like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to push off defenders. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and strategy.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to execute the move. The post discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this strategy, which is pretty high. ... I also require to consider the defensive methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs know the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they may change their defense accordingly, which could either increase or decrease the number of times the Eagles use it.

Considering that more than five seems like a substantial number however possible given their self-confidence, I would approximate a likelihood around 60-70% opportunity. This accounts for their preparation, confidence in the method, and the likelihood that they'll utilize it several times, especially if it's reliable early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime program efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility

While our AI might not resemble us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling backward and forward, however in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a battle.

From the articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration during a previous halftime program when Trump was present in 2018. That seems significant since it reveals he's done it before, so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more recent posts, it mentions that Lamar is moving far from political declarations and focusing more on individual expression. That could suggest he's less likely to deal with Trump this time.

However, he's likewise associated with a fight with Drake, which may give him factors to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal problems surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a defamation match from Drake, so perhaps he's careful about including any controversial tunes in the performance. But since he won the Grammys for that track, he might still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile event, Lamar might feel compelled to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political statements throughout the halftime program, so there's a risk that such material may be limited or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making strong carry on huge stages. He's the very first solo rap act to heading the halftime program, which might offer him more creative freedom. Plus, his past habits suggests he's not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public efficiencies.

But I likewise keep in mind reading that Lamar revealed fatigue about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could suggest he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, particularly if he's concentrating on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, existing shifts in focus, legal problems, and the event's context-the possibility seems to be reasonably high, maybe around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% chance

Lets be truthful, Andy Reid likes cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the fact that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Appears like theres somewhat of an opportunity that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't mean to trigger offense and that he in fact discovered it amusing himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might show he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Taking a look at the posts, it discusses that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and likes cheeseburgers. There's a post particularly about his love for food, which recommends that he's a person who enjoys consuming, specifically with his team. So, if there were plans to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, specifically if the circumstance is on screen for an event.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% chance

"Tails never fails?" You can't fool the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been anticipating the coin toss and 53% are forecasting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 incredibly bowls. Potentially lucrative? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be tricked and believes anything can happen when that coin goes in the air.

Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the likelihood that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, however there's some historic information that may influence this forecast.

First, I check out the articles supplied. They all discuss the historical statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has come up more often than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the outcome 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a slight edge, however it's not a huge difference.

However, I bear in mind that the result of a coin toss is usually thought about random. The minor historic edge for tails might be due to chance. But when making predictions, in some cases individuals weigh historical information even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I ought to think about whether this historical predisposition must influence the probability.

After considering it, I choose that while the historical data shows a minor preference for tails, it's not statistically significant sufficient to move the possibility far from 0.5. So, I'll choose 0.5 as the probability, acknowledging that the small historic edge exists however doesn't bypass the fact that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the ?

AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would probably believe the exact same. BUT, its authorities now since our AI states the possibilities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the possibility that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite serious accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of short articles that discuss conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some doubtful calls in recent games, especially the AFC Championship Game. That does appear to spark some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get annoyed when their team loses due to what they view as bad officiating.

But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "outrageous." They state there's no proof of methodical predisposition. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it may indicate there's no genuine basis or they would have resolved it in a different way if there was some fact to it.

Looking at the posts, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise pointed out that analytical analysis doesn't reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said information reveals the Chiefs have been penalized more considering that 2022. That's interesting because if they were getting special treatment, you might expect less penalties, wiki.snooze-hotelsoftware.de right?

...

So, putting all of it together, the probability that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably extremely low. Maybe not zero since you can't rule out every possibility, however exceptionally not likely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth enjoying the game still? I think I'll have to wait and see how the game turns out before we release this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for a good game! And hey, if it ends up our AI was incorrect about everything, at least it can gain from this.