Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

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Nobody can anticipate the future but at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to provide it its best shot. With up to date news and a little but tough 14 Billion criterion model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we attempt to address humankind's hardest questions.

Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, simply as two years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain numerous pushing questions that are less easy to select. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining questions from places like polymarket.com and training a large language model to be much better at forecasting the future (and have seen some appealing improvements - term paper incoming). Today we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is actually on the smaller side. (Some quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from numerous months ago so we have actually developed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unknown territory to make its best forecast possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We posed the following questions to our AI and garagesale.es evaluated its reaction. While we have seen forecast improvements from our training, use these quotes for prop wagering at your own hazard.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% possibility

And so it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, however a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposition ...

First, I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor given that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been encouraging of his profession, attending his video games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even welcomed her loved ones to the Super Bowl, revealing her commitment.

Some fans are delighted, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, particularly given comments Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has actually triggered some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship private and not attending to the speculation straight.

I think the bottom lines are the speculation and his incredibly elusive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential occasion, the odds and his responses suggest it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low possibility, possibly around 5%, considering all aspects.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% opportunity

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" move, now its simply a different front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's similar attempts? Looks like our AI believes they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this video game.

Alright, I'm trying to figure out the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I require to understand just what a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to push off protectors. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and technique.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to execute the move. The short article mentions that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this strategy, which is pretty high. ... I likewise need to consider the protective strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they might change their defense accordingly, which might either increase or reduce the variety of times the Eagles use it.

Considering that more than 5 looks like a substantial number however possible offered their confidence, I would approximate a probability around 60-70% possibility. This represents their preparation, self-confidence in the method, and the possibility that they'll use it several times, specifically if it works early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime show efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% chance

While our AI might not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, however in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to back down from a fight.

From the posts, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement throughout a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That seems considerable because it shows he's done it before, so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more current posts, it points out that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on individual expression. That might indicate he's less likely to resolve Trump this time.

However, he's also involved in a fight with Drake, which may offer him reasons to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a disparagement match from Drake, so perhaps he's mindful about consisting of any questionable songs in the efficiency. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he may still desire to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent occasion, Lamar may feel forced to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to prevent political statements throughout the halftime program, so there's a threat that such material may be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making vibrant relocations on big stages. He's the very first solo rap act to heading the halftime program, which may give him more . Plus, his previous habits suggests he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public efficiencies.

But I likewise remember reading that Lamar revealed fatigue about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might suggest he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, particularly if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, current shifts in focus, legal concerns, and the occasion's context-the possibility appears to be moderately high, maybe around 65%.

Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the super bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility

Lets be honest, Andy Reid likes cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the truth that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Looks like theres rather of an opportunity that if the chiefs taste success, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the short articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't mean to trigger offense and that he in fact discovered it humorous himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might suggest he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Looking at the short articles, it discusses that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and loves cheeseburgers. There's an article specifically about his love for food, which recommends that he's a person who takes pleasure in consuming, especially with his team. So, if there were strategies to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would engage in a cheeseburger, especially if the circumstance is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% opportunity

"Tails never fails?" You can't fool the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been forecasting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 incredibly bowls. Potentially lucrative? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and thinks anything can take place when that coin enters the air.

Okay, so I'm trying to find out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, but there's some historical data that might affect this forecast.

First, I go through the posts supplied. They all discuss the historic data of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has actually come up more typically than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a minor edge, however it's not a big difference.

However, I bear in mind that the result of a coin toss is generally thought about random. The minor historic edge for tails could be due to possibility. But when making forecasts, in some cases individuals weigh historical data even if it's not statistically significant. So, I need to think about whether this historical predisposition should influence the likelihood.

After thinking of it, I choose that while the historic information reveals a small choice for tails, it's not statistically significant sufficient to move the probability far from 0.5. So, I'll choose 0.5 as the probability, acknowledging that the minor historical edge exists but doesn't bypass the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.

Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility

We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I guarantee we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely believe the very same. BUT, its authorities now due to the fact that our AI states the chances are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to fraud on a national scale). Looks like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the probability that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty major accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of posts that talk about conspiracy theories recommending referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable employ current video games, particularly the AFC National championship. That does seem to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get irritated when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "outrageous" and "absurd." They say there's no evidence of methodical predisposition. That's a strong statement from the individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it may imply there's no genuine basis or they would have resolved it in a different way if there was some fact to it.

Taking a look at the posts, numerous sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise mentioned that statistical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said information reveals the Chiefs have actually been penalized more given that 2022. That's intriguing due to the fact that if they were getting special treatment, you might anticipate fewer penalties, right?

...

So, putting all of it together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably really low. Maybe not zero because you can't rule out every possibility, but incredibly unlikely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth watching the video game still? I guess I'll have to wait and see how the video game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for a great video game! And hi, if it ends up our AI was wrong about whatever, a minimum of it can gain from this.